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Posts Tagged "Recession"

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Manager Due Diligence Trip

Manager Due Diligence Trip                                                                    January 8, 2014                                                              Executive Summary Following my trip to the West Coast after Ironman Arizona in November, I took the opportunity to visit with three prominent fund managers in order to gain insight into their investment process and current view of the world.  As a fee-only…

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Quarterly Newsletter to Public Q2 2013

The view of many investment professionals we admire is that global central banks have created a “rigged market,” where stock prices have gone up despite a recessionary economy.  Since these unprecedented actions, asset prices have responded almost immediately when any directional change in policy has even been suggested. The Fed decision to “taper” bond purchases is its first suggestion of an exit strategy and has wide ranging implications for asset markets including substantially increased volatility.

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Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again

Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again

GDP reported Friday failed to meet expectations.  More importantly, GDP growth, year on year, is at a level never previously experienced outside recession.  This data supports ECRI’s stance that the US is currently in a mild recession that began about midyear 2012. Click here to read the complete article.

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Euro Area in Recession Since Third Quarter of 2011

The Centre for Economic Policy Research, the European agency who officially dates recessions and expansions, declared that the Euro Area has been in recession since the 3rd Quarter of 2011.  Their official release date was November 15, 2012. The ECRI, from whom we buy economic data, has been signaling that…

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Here’s a Interesting, Timely, Economic Measure

Here’s a Interesting, Timely, Economic Measure

Dividends: U.S. Deeper in Recessionary Territory As promised, we’re updating our chart showing the number of publicly-traded companies that have acted to decrease their dividends through the end of October 2012 – providing what might perhaps be the simplest and best near-real time picture of the state of the health of…

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